Sevilla may be sitting four points behind Osasuna, but they tend to save their best performances for the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan while Osasuna can sometimes struggle on the road, and with that in mind, we think that the hosts will do enough to claim a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
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