Osasuna will fancy their chances of picking up a positive result against an out-of-form Real Madrid, and we would not be surprised if it was a draw in the Spanish capital on Saturday. However, we just have a feeling that Los Blancos will do enough to secure a vital three points ahead of the November international break.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 13.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
0.02) 
-0) 
