SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
62.93% ( 0.01) | 21.98% ( -0.02) | 15.09% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.47% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.84% ( 0.05) | 51.16% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% ( 0.05) | 73% ( -0.05) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( 0.02) | 15.69% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.24% ( 0.04) | 44.75% ( -0.05) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.94% ( 0.03) | 46.06% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.23% ( 0.03) | 81.76% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.65% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.54% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 62.92% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.97% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.29% Total : 15.09% |
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