Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 55.28%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Qingdao Jonoon win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.