SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 84.86%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 4.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.29%) and 4-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.95%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (1.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Shenzhen |
84.86% ( 0.33) | 10.43% ( -0.2) | 4.71% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.86% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.54% ( 0.38) | 30.46% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.25% ( 0.44) | 51.75% ( -0.44) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.97% ( 0.13) | 5.03% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.93% ( 0.38) | 20.08% ( -0.38) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.13% ( -0.21) | 54.87% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.2% ( -0.13) | 87.8% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Shenzhen |
| 2-0 @ 12.33% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)7-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 84.85% | 1-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.5% Total : 10.43% | 0-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.57% Total : 4.71% |
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