SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.19%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shanghai Port |
18.8% ( 0.15) | 23.94% ( 0.12) | 57.25% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 46.99% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.97% ( -0.27) | 53.03% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.38% ( -0.23) | 74.62% ( 0.22) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.55% ( 0.01) | 42.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.18% ( 0.01) | 78.82% ( -0.02) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% ( -0.2) | 18.34% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.55% ( -0.34) | 49.45% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 18.8% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 11.19% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 57.25% |
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