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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 20
Jun 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
D

Shelbourne
1 - 0
Dundalk

Martin (71')
Williams (77'), O'Sullivan (78'), Martin (80'), Wilson (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Boyle (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shelbourne 1-2 Sligo
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-3 Dundalk
Monday, June 3 at 5.15pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Shelbourne 2-1 Dundalk

While the two sides had contrasting results last time out, harming the hosts' position at the summit of the table and giving the visitors renewed confidence in their survival bid, Shelbourne have shown their superior quality throughout the campaign thus far, and we back Duff's men to make a swift return to winning ways on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 50.72%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shelbourne in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shelbourne.

Result
ShelbourneDrawDundalk
50.72% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 25.99% (0.0019999999999989 0) 23.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.1%55.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)77.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.46% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.6% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)39.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.9% (0.004999999999999 0)76.1% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 50.72%
    Dundalk 23.29%
    Draw 25.99%
ShelbourneDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 13.14%
2-0 @ 9.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 9.24%
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 50.72%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 8.71%
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.34%
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 23.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-2 Sligo
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 0-2 Shelbourne
Friday, May 24 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-2 Shelbourne
Monday, May 20 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 Waterford
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Drogheda
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 1-1 Shelbourne
Monday, May 6 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-3 Dundalk
Monday, June 3 at 5.15pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 Derry
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Galway United 2-0 Dundalk
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 Shamrock
Friday, May 17 at 8.15pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 4-1 Dundalk
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 2-1 Dundalk
Monday, May 6 at 1pm in League of Ireland Premier


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