Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 65.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 0-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 2-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
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