SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sichuan Jiuniu in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
44.62% ( 0.06) | 24.62% ( -0) | 30.76% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.56% ( -0.01) | 45.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.23% ( -0.01) | 67.77% ( 0.01) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( 0.03) | 20.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.08% ( 0.04) | 52.92% ( -0.03) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( -0.04) | 27.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% ( -0.05) | 63.5% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.62% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.76% |
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