SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
42.79% ( -0.06) | 25.39% ( 0.18) | 31.81% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.59% ( -0.8) | 48.41% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.45% ( -0.74) | 70.55% ( 0.74) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( -0.37) | 22.54% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( -0.55) | 56.13% ( 0.56) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( -0.47) | 28.67% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.51% ( -0.59) | 64.49% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.23% Total : 42.79% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.81% |
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