SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sierra Leone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Djibouti |
66.55% ( -2.11) | 19.24% ( 0.78) | 14.2% ( 1.33) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.71% ( -0.49) | 41.28% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.31% ( -0.5) | 63.68% ( 0.5) |
| Sierra Leone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.47% ( -0.7) | 11.52% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.57% ( -1.52) | 36.42% ( 1.52) |
| Djibouti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.75% ( 1.67) | 41.24% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.22% ( 1.45) | 77.77% ( -1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sierra Leone | Draw | Djibouti |
| 2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.52)3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.41)4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.8% Total : 66.53% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.24% | 0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.15)Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.2% |
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