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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 1pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
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Djibouti
0 - 1
Guinea-Bissau


Mohamed Aden (36'), Araita (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodrigues (39')
Mendes (49'), Djalo (90+1')
Mendes (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Egypt 6-0 Djibouti
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Djibouti 1-2 Guinea-Bissau

Guinea-Bissau have been steadily improving in recent times and could be a dark horse in this group. The visitors beat Nigeria earlier this year, and after holding Burkina Faso to a draw on the road last week, they are now unbeaten in their last three. Against one of the lowest-ranked teams on the continent, we are expecting the African wild dogs to claim their first win of the competition in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 82.81%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 5.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.1%) and 0-1 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a Djibouti win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea-Bissau would win this match.

Result
DjiboutiDrawGuinea-Bissau
5.01% (0.0501 0.05) 12.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 82.81% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Both teams to score 37.47% (0.315 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.53% (0.195 0.2)38.46% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.24% (0.207 0.21)60.76% (-0.21 -0.21)
Djibouti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.28% (0.327 0.33)59.72% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.49% (0.166 0.17)90.51% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.02% (0.024000000000001 0.02)6.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.43% (0.069000000000003 0.07)25.56% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Djibouti 5.01%
    Guinea-Bissau 82.8%
    Draw 12.18%
DjiboutiDrawGuinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 1.48% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 5.01%
1-1 @ 5.72% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 1.96% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 12.18%
0-2 @ 14.77% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 13.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-1 @ 11.09% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 8.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.76% (0.039 0.04)
0-5 @ 4.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.5% (0.032 0.03)
1-5 @ 2.39% (0.021 0.02)
0-6 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
1-6 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 82.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Egypt 6-0 Djibouti
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Pakistan 1-3 Djibouti
Saturday, June 17 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Djibouti 3-1 Mauritius
Wednesday, June 14 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Niger 7-2 Djibouti
Monday, November 15 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Djibouti 0-4 Algeria
Friday, November 12 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-0 Djibouti
Monday, October 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 2-1 Sierra Leone
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Wednesday, June 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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