SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Varnamo |
49.58% ( -0.09) | 23.37% ( -0.05) | 27.05% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 59.09% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.98% ( 0.32) | 42.01% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.58% ( 0.32) | 64.42% ( -0.32) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( 0.08) | 17.1% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.7% ( 0.16) | 47.3% ( -0.16) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( 0.26) | 28.72% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( 0.33) | 64.55% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Varnamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.02% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 27.05% |
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