SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
45.64% ( -0.76) | 22.92% ( 0.15) | 31.44% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 63.81% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.88% ( -0.4) | 37.12% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.68% ( -0.44) | 59.32% ( 0.44) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( -0.44) | 16.71% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.39% ( -0.79) | 46.61% ( 0.79) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( 0.16) | 23.38% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% ( 0.23) | 57.36% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.37% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.44% |
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