SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Coventry City |
54.28% ( -3.15) | 21.58% ( 1.1) | 24.13% ( 2.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.42% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.71% ( -2.87) | 36.28% ( 2.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.59% ( -3.21) | 58.41% ( 3.22) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( -1.85) | 13.46% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.55% ( -3.85) | 40.45% ( 3.85) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( 0.05) | 27.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% ( 0.07) | 63.48% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Coventry City |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.55)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.44)3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.48)4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.38)4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.3)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.3)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.24)Other @ 3.85% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.51)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.66)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.42)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.6% Total : 24.13% |
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