Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 67.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Japan Women had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Japan Women win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
