Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 82.26%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Nigeria Women had a probability of 5.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.43%) and 1-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Nigeria Women win it was 0-1 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.
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