SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Prague | Draw | Liverpool |
19.86% ( 0.31) | 20.6% ( 0.25) | 59.54% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 59.64% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.86% ( -0.73) | 37.14% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.66% ( -0.79) | 59.34% ( 0.79) |
| Sparta Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( -0.13) | 32.07% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.45% ( -0.14) | 68.54% ( 0.14) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.8% ( -0.39) | 12.2% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.14% ( -0.81) | 37.86% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Prague | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.86% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.6% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 6.91% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 3.63% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.13% Total : 59.54% |
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