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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Union SG win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Liverpool |
26.48% ( 0.33) | 21.8% ( 0.31) | 51.71% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 64.22% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.98% ( -1.21) | 35.02% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.99% ( -1.36) | 57.01% ( 1.36) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( -0.41) | 25.47% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.7% ( -0.56) | 60.3% ( 0.56) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.17% ( -0.62) | 13.83% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.81% ( -1.24) | 41.18% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.48% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.81% Total : 51.71% |
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