SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Catanzaro |
40.09% ( -0.93) | 25.71% ( -0.13) | 34.19% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.9% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.81% ( 0.76) | 49.18% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% ( 0.68) | 71.25% ( -0.68) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( -0.14) | 24.22% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( -0.2) | 58.57% ( 0.2) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( 1.03) | 27.54% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% ( 1.31) | 63.05% ( -1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Catanzaro |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.19% |
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