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Serie B | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
SC

Como
4 - 0
Spezia

Da Cunha (27', 63'), Cutrone (37'), Gabrielloni (59')
Abildgaard (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Amian (79')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cosenza 1-2 Como
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Modena
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
ComoDrawSpezia
47.17% (0.125 0.13) 25.76% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 27.08% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.32% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75% (0.136 0.14)52.25% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05% (0.117 0.12)73.95% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (0.116 0.12)22.15% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (0.17 0.17)55.53% (-0.162 -0.16)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (0.013999999999996 0.01)34.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (0.013999999999999 0.01)70.77% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Como 47.16%
    Spezia 27.08%
    Draw 25.75%
ComoDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 11.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.31% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 27.08%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Cosenza 1-2 Como
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Como 3-3 Palermo
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 2-0 Como
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Como 2-1 Modena
Sunday, December 10 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-1 Como
Sunday, December 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Como 0-0 Lecco
Tuesday, November 28 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Modena
Tuesday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cittadella 4-1 Spezia
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Spezia 1-0 Bari
Friday, December 15 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 1-2 Spezia
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Spezia 0-1 Parma
Saturday, December 2 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sampdoria 2-1 Spezia
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Serie B


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