Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 54.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
-1.16) 
0.56) 
