SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 67.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | St Louis City |
67.19% ( -0.03) | 17.76% ( 0.01) | 15.04% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.89% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.81% ( -0.03) | 32.18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.22% ( -0.03) | 53.78% ( 0.03) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.14% ( -0.01) | 8.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.68% ( -0.03) | 30.31% ( 0.03) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% ( 0) | 34.29% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29% ( 0) | 70.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.68% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.37% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.13% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.27% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.12% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 4.24% Total : 67.19% | 1-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.76% | 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.82% 0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 15.04% |
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