SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
60.22% ( -0.07) | 21.4% ( 0.03) | 18.38% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.86% ( -0.05) | 43.14% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.46% ( -0.05) | 65.54% ( 0.05) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% ( -0.04) | 13.9% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.67% ( -0.08) | 41.33% ( 0.08) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0.02) | 37.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.07% ( 0.02) | 73.93% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 60.22% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.4% | 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.38% |
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