SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | St Louis City |
60.84% ( -0.09) | 20.37% ( -0.08) | 18.79% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.53% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.29% ( 0.65) | 37.7% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.05% ( 0.69) | 59.94% ( -0.69) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.98% ( 0.17) | 12.01% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.53% ( 0.37) | 37.46% ( -0.37) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.52% ( 0.56) | 33.48% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.88% ( 0.61) | 70.11% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 4.12% Total : 60.84% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.05% Total : 18.79% |
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