SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 86.84%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 4.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.61%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-2 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Portimonense |
86.84% ( 0.11) | 8.51% ( -0.02) | 4.65% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 81.36% ( -0.44) | 18.63% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 63.88% ( -0.64) | 36.11% ( 0.63) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.19% ( -0.06) | 2.8% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 87.18% ( -0.19) | 12.81% ( 0.18) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.72% ( -0.81) | 44.27% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.65% ( -0.66) | 80.35% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Portimonense |
| 3-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.14)6-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 2% ( -0.07)7-0 @ 1.84% ( 0)7-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)6-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 5.61% Total : 86.84% | 1-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.03% Total : 8.51% | 1-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 4.65% |
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