While Portimonense have been rock-solid at home this year, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a Sporting Lisbon side who have put together a fine run of results in recent weeks. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we predict that the Leoes will come away with all three points, albeit by the odd goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
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