SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Porto had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%).
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Porto |
47.38% ( 2.49) | 22.37% ( -0.18) | 30.25% ( -2.31) |
| Both teams to score 65.18% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.96% ( -0.24) | 35.04% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.97% ( -0.27) | 57.04% ( 0.28) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( 0.81) | 15.29% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.01% ( 1.5) | 44% ( -1.5) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( -1.43) | 23.06% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( -2.15) | 56.9% ( 2.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Porto |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.21)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.1)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.26% |
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