Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 13.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
13.13% (![]() | 18.64% (![]() | 68.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.99% (![]() | 41.01% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.6% (![]() | 63.4% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.34% (![]() | 42.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.99% (![]() | 79.01% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89% (![]() | 11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.72% (![]() | 35.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 4% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 1.42% Total : 13.13% | 1-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.15% ( ![]() Other @ 0.98% Total : 18.64% | 0-2 @ 11.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 10.35% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.68% ( ![]() Other @ 4% Total : 68.22% |
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