SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.56%) and 1-3 (4.97%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Chelsea |
36.73% ( 0.55) | 22.37% ( -0.22) | 40.9% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 67.75% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.31% ( 1.18) | 32.68% ( -1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.64% ( 1.36) | 54.36% ( -1.36) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( 0.78) | 18.57% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.15% ( 1.3) | 49.84% ( -1.3) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 0.36) | 16.79% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.25% ( 0.63) | 46.74% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.78% Total : 36.73% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.45% Total : 40.9% |
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