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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 57.26%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 22.64% and a draw has a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.42%).
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Aston Villa |
57.26% ( -0.54) | 20.09% ( 0.11) | 22.64% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 66.07% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.28% ( 0.06) | 30.72% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.95% ( 0.07) | 52.05% ( -0.06) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.19% ( -0.12) | 10.81% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.15% ( -0.28) | 34.85% ( 0.28) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% ( 0.39) | 25.92% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.07% ( 0.51) | 60.92% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 57.26% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.12% Total : 22.64% |
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