SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.45%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
71.45% ( -0.09) | 14.92% ( 0.04) | 13.62% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 68.17% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.11) | 20.83% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.16) | 39.27% ( 0.16) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.73% ( -0.04) | 5.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 79.21% ( -0.12) | 20.78% ( 0.12) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( -0.03) | 28.04% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.31% ( -0.03) | 63.69% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.98% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 5.08% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)6-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)5-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 4% Total : 71.45% | 1-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.59% Total : 14.92% | 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)0-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 13.62% |
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