SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Aston Villa |
44.73% ( 0.41) | 23.21% ( 0.16) | 32.06% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 63.05% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.76% ( -0.99) | 38.24% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.48% ( -1.06) | 60.52% ( 1.06) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( -0.23) | 17.51% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.98% ( -0.41) | 48.02% ( 0.41) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( -0.8) | 23.56% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.38% ( -1.17) | 57.62% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)Other @ 4% Total : 44.73% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.06% |
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