SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
36.21% ( -0) | 25.16% ( -0) | 38.63% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( 0) | 46.43% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( 0) | 68.71% ( -0) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( -0) | 25.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.27% ( -0) | 59.73% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( 0) | 23.75% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.11% ( 0) | 57.89% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.21% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.89% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 38.63% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
