SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Uniao de Leiria had a probability of 10.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.15%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Uniao de Leiria win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Uniao de Leiria |
70.08% ( 0.2) | 19.33% ( -0.02) | 10.59% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 40.83% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.68% ( -0.38) | 50.32% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.73% ( -0.34) | 72.26% ( 0.34) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.8% ( -0.06) | 13.19% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.08% ( -0.12) | 39.91% ( 0.12) |
| Uniao de Leiria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.04% ( -0.59) | 52.95% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.38% ( -0.38) | 86.62% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Uniao de Leiria |
| 2-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 14.15% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 70.08% | 1-1 @ 9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.33% | 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.59% |
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