Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
44.84% ( -0.01) | 25.09% | 30.07% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.4% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.16% ( 0) | 47.84% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.97% ( 0) | 70.02% ( -0) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.64% ( -0) | 21.35% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.68% ( -0) | 54.32% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% ( 0.01) | 29.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.41% ( 0.01) | 65.58% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.72% 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.84% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.69% 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 30.07% |
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