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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
SJ

St Mirren
3 - 1
St Johnstone

Tanser (30'), O'Hara (57'), Ayunga (90+3')
Bwomono (23'), Balcombe (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-1 St Mirren
Sunday, October 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 0-2 St Johnstone

St Mirren may have enjoyed this fixture in recent years, but the visitors are heading into this one in undeniably better form than their hosts, leading us to believe St Johnstone will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawSt Johnstone
44.84% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 25.09%30.07% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)47.84% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.35% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)54.32%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (0.007000000000005 0.01)29.56% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41% (0.009999999999998 0.01)65.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 44.84%
    St Johnstone 30.07%
    Draw 25.09%
St MirrenDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.84%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.69%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 30.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rangers 2-1 St Mirren
Sunday, October 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 4-0 St Mirren
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 St Mirren
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 3-0 Ross County
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 St Johnstone
Sunday, October 6 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-6 Celtic
Saturday, September 28 at 5.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 3-3 St Johnstone
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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