Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 44.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 27.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 1-0 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
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