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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 54.4%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.62%) and 2-3 (5.46%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
26.23% ( -0.01) | 19.38% ( -0.01) | 54.4% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 73.41% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.83% ( 0.02) | 23.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.51% ( 0.03) | 42.48% ( -0.03) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( 0.01) | 19.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.06% ( 0.01) | 50.94% ( -0.01) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% ( 0.01) | 9.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.06% ( 0.03) | 30.94% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0)1-0 @ 2.89% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.29% 4-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 26.23% | 1-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0)3-3 @ 3% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.38% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.62% ( 0)2-3 @ 5.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0)0-1 @ 4.2% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.97% ( 0)2-4 @ 3.27% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.9% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.57% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 4.74% Total : 54.4% |
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