SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
43.89% ( -0.32) | 27.15% ( 0.02) | 28.96% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 48.43% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.42% ( 0.07) | 56.58% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.44% ( 0.05) | 77.56% ( -0.05) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.13) | 25.6% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.51% ( -0.18) | 60.49% ( 0.19) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% ( 0.27) | 34.9% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.35% ( 0.29) | 71.64% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.89% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 28.96% |
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