SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Hull City |
45.09% ( 0.21) | 24.64% ( -0.05) | 30.27% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.02% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( 0.17) | 45.76% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( 0.16) | 68.08% ( -0.16) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( 0.17) | 20.38% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% ( 0.26) | 52.8% ( -0.26) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( -0.02) | 28.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% ( -0.03) | 64.12% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Hull City |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.09% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.27% |
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