With Sunderland finally showing a bit of form under Dodds, they will expect to deliver maximum points in the North-East. However, we feel that the Lions will come through this contest having earned a point in a relatively low-key affair.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
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