Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
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