SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Coventry City |
36.55% ( 0.14) | 25.45% ( -0.04) | 38% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( 0.18) | 47.72% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( 0.16) | 69.91% ( -0.16) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( 0.16) | 25.46% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% ( 0.22) | 60.29% ( -0.22) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( 0.03) | 24.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.81% ( 0.04) | 59.19% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 38% |
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