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League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
FG

Swindon
2 - 1
Forest Green

Kemp (56', 81')
Hutton (71'), Minturn (90+7'), Young (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (74')
Dabo (15'), Deeney (16'), Jenks (21'), Robson (43'), Bendle (80'), Inniss (87')
Deeney (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-2 Forest Green Rovers

Neither side have been particularly sharp over 90 minutes this month, but we believe the visitors will make life difficult for a Swindon side that seem to be their own worst enemies and where frustration appears to be growing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawForest Green Rovers
47.15% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 24.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)44.72% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.08% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (0.010999999999996 0.01)19.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.29% (0.014999999999993 0.01)50.71% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.97% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)64.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 47.15%
    Forest Green Rovers 28.65%
    Draw 24.2%
Swindon TownDrawForest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.15%
1-1 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 28.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-3 Barrow
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-0 Swindon
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 3-4 Swindon
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 4-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-0 Gillingham
Friday, December 22 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Blackpool 3-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: MK Dons 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-4 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in FA Cup


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