SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Barrow |
34.71% ( -0.13) | 24.04% ( 0.02) | 41.25% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.95% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.61% ( -0.1) | 41.39% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.21% ( -0.1) | 63.78% ( 0.1) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( -0.12) | 23.55% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% ( -0.17) | 57.6% ( 0.17) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( 0.01) | 20.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.37% ( 0.02) | 52.63% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.71% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 41.25% |
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