Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Barrow
34.71% ( -0.13)	24.04% ( 0.02)	41.25% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 60.95% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.61% (

-0.1)

41.39% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.21% (

-0.1)

63.78% (

0.1)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45% (

-0.12)

23.55% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.4% (

-0.17)

57.6% (

0.17)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72% (

0.01)

20.28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.37% (

0.02)

52.63% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 34.71%

Barrow 41.25%

Draw 24.03%

Swindon Town	Draw	Barrow
2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.71%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 41.25%