SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | Romania | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Israel | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 5 | Belarus | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 6 | Andorra | 5 | -4 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 77.52%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 6.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.09%) and 3-0 (12.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Switzerland | Draw | Andorra |
77.52% ( 0.1) | 16.03% ( -0.05) | 6.45% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 33.51% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( 0.04) | 49.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( 0.04) | 71.73% ( -0.03) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.07% ( 0.04) | 10.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.87% ( 0.08) | 35.13% ( -0.08) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.62% ( -0.1) | 62.38% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.18% ( -0.05) | 91.82% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Switzerland | Draw | Andorra |
| 2-0 @ 16.7% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 15.09% 3-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 77.5% | 1-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.03% | 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.55% Total : 6.45% |
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