SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 86.38%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 3.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.12%) and 1-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (1.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Switzerland | Draw | Estonia |
86.38% ( 1.11) | 10% ( -0.72) | 3.61% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 34.73% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.9% ( 1.43) | 35.1% ( -1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.9% ( 1.57) | 57.1% ( -1.57) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.4% ( 0.49) | 5.59% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.28% ( 1.39) | 21.72% ( -1.39) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.79% ( -0.79) | 63.21% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.79% ( -0.37) | 92.2% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Switzerland | Draw | Estonia |
| 2-0 @ 14.69% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 14.12% ( 0.24)1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.43)4-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.46)2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.43)4-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.09)6-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.28)5-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.1)7-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 86.36% | 1-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.25% Total : 10% | 0-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.92% Total : 3.61% |
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