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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 67.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
67.78% ( -0.91) | 16.9% ( 0.36) | 15.32% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 64.26% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.87% ( -0.64) | 27.13% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.35% ( -0.81) | 47.65% ( 0.81) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.58% ( -0.34) | 7.42% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.27% ( -0.88) | 26.72% ( 0.88) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( 0.2) | 30.59% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( 0.23) | 66.82% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.58% Total : 67.78% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 16.9% | 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.13% Total : 15.32% |
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