SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 35.64%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Boca Juniors |
35.55% ( -0.03) | 28.81% ( 0) | 35.64% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.4% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.82% ( -0.01) | 61.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.87% ( -0.01) | 81.13% ( 0.01) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% ( -0.03) | 32.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( -0.03) | 69.19% ( 0.03) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.41% ( 0.01) | 32.59% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.88% ( 0.02) | 69.12% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.63% |
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