SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Estudiantes |
38.2% ( 0.07) | 28.47% ( 0.02) | 33.32% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.19% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.87% ( -0.06) | 60.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.66% ( -0.05) | 80.34% ( 0.05) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( 0.01) | 30.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.35% ( 0.02) | 66.65% ( -0.02) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( -0.09) | 33.59% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.76% ( -0.1) | 70.24% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.2% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.32% |
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